Taking a look at the strongest performing ETFs provides a look at which sectors/countries are currently providing the best investment opportunities. The list below shows ETF’s above both support of the 50 and 200 day moving averages as well as a combined DI 20 and DI 40 score above zero. The DI score is a proprietary indicator of SelfInvestors.com and measures demand in a stock/ETF by combining price and volume movements.
Clearly, strength remains in Medical/Health/Biotech. Select emerging markets are doing well in addition to utilities and realty.
(Data as of 2:25EST) While the market continues its wide yo yo type moves today, the selling isn’t particularly intense as you can see by taking a look at the index ETFs below. Notice the volume is below average heading into the last hour of the trading day. The only sector getting hit with high volume is the energy/oil sector, although it has been bouncing back in the last hour or so. The Oil Services HLDRS (OIH) is down 1.5% with volume 73% greater than average. Both the SPDR and Ishares Energy ETFs (IYE and XLE) are down signficantly with volume greater than 100% above the average.
(As of 12:45EST) Many sectors participating in today’s move as volume picks up substantially. Possible areas of support at 10,000 in the Dow and 1,900 in the Nasdaq are emerging, but I need to see healthy conolidation following today’s move before I would consider entering any long trades. Today is a good start.
For the second day in a row, big pharma is seeing some profit taking while energy and basic materials bounce back with good volume for the second day in a row. Small caps are also faring quite well today which is reflected in the Russell 2000 ETF’s. (prices as of 2:30EST)
The market is moving lower this morning with volume well above average which is reflected in the Q’s and Diamonds, where volume is currently running around 75% greater than average. Both the Dow and S&P sit at lows for the year. If they close there today, be prepared for a much larger move down. The market is being led down once again today by transportation (which has sold off for the 3rd day in a row) and materials. Money also continues to flow out of emerging markets. After several days of heavy selling, energy stocks have rebounded today as crude flirts with $50/barrel.
Money continues to flow out of materials and energy and into pharmaceuticals.
Note About DI 20, DI 40 Scores:
The Demand Indicators measure price and volume movements to gauge institutional demand. Points are awarded for high volume moves up (institutional buying) as well as light volume selling (indicating healthy consolidation). The score decreases with low volume buying (indicating demand is waning) as well as high volume selling (institutions dumping shares). The higher the overall score, the greater demand for the stock.
Clearly, rotation into big pharma is occurring as evidenced by the DI scores for the HLDRS Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH). Merck (MRK) and Pfizer (PFE) have moved impressively off the lows, while Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) continues its strong uptrend. These 3 companies are the largest holdings in the PPH ETF.
Given the broad end of day sell off, I thought I’d post the end day results for ETF Movers as well- note the big end of day sell off in the transportation for the second day in a row.
I remember looking at the ETFs around mid day and seeing a whole lot of red, with big volume, so today’s reversal was mighty impressive and the kind of move that hints at a correction bottom. We’lls see how it shakes out over the next couple of days. Anyway, here are today’s ETF movers:
Up With Volume:
SPDR Consumer Discretionary (XLY) Up .7%, Volume up 291% HLDRS Telecom (TTH) UP .86%, Volume up 155% Ishares Small Caps (IJR) Up .75%, Volume up 110% Ishares Emerging Markets (EEM) Up .68%, Volume up 80% HLDRS Retail (RTH) Up 1.05%, Volume up 72% Ishares Lehman 20+ Yr Bonds (TLT) Up .84% Volume up 66% SPDR Financial (XLF) Up 1.3% Volume up 56% Ishares Real Estate (IYR) Up 1.45% Volume up 60%
Down With Volume
SPDR Energy (XLE) Down 1.49%, Volume up 83% HLDRS Internet (OIH) Down .7%, Volume up 69%
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