Today’s Earnings Movers

Here are today’s notable earnings movers:
Note: fundamental rank in brackets does not include latest results

UP

  • Netease.com (NTES) Internet Info Providers, fundamental rank [27/30] up 12%, adding gains to the breakout of a couple days ago
  • Quanex (NX) Steel & Iron, fundamental rank [25/30] up 9%, carving out the right side of an ugly base
  • Roper Industries (ROP) Diversified Machinery, fundamental rank [25/30] up 8%, making breakout move to all time highs after 7 month consolidation

DOWN

  • McGrath Rentcorp (MGRC) Rental & Leasing Services, [24/30], down 14%, reclaiming 200DMA after sharp sell off this morning
  • Interline Brands (IBI), Building Materials Wholesale, [24/30], down 5%, taking out support of 50DMA

Water World

This post provided via Gary Scott, who sent the following to his newsletter readers a few days ago. 

International investments in water makes great business sense. The product is something everyone needs — in fact, after a few days you die if you don’t have it. Its uses are nearly unlimited: industrial, recreational, culinary, medicinal. There’s a limited supply, and an unceasing demand.

This is why we have been looking at international investments and water on this site for over five years.

Big trends in water are treating, purifying and providing it. About 85 percent of drinking water, and an even larger percentage of waste water services are provided by municipal-owned systems. Under the 1996 Safe Drinking Water Act many of these municipalities have to renovate their often antiquated systems. Many cities don’t have the money or the access to capital, so they outsource to profit-making companies.   

This is why last November we looked at Insituform Technologies, a leader in trenchless water line replacement. (See http://www.spottingtrends.com/investment/investment_natural_resources_9.htm).

Insituform’s share price has risen from $19.20 to $25.30 in this last three months since we wrote about it.

Today’s focus is in Europe which has had water problems even longer than in the US and has many companies that provide water services globally.  It should come as no surprise that Europe have some of the largest water companies.

France is home to some of these large water companies. One of these firms is Suez Lyonnaise des Eaux, formed through a 1997 merger between Compagnie de Suez (the company that built the Suez Canal and then became a bank) and Lyonnaise des Eaux (a water company with operations in the United States, Australia, Russia, Brazil, Spain and more). After the merger, the company’s name became Suez Lyonnaise des Eaux and was subsequently shortened to Suez in 2001.

Suez, trades on the Paris Bourse under the ticker symbol LY and several years ago adopted American business management methods, sharpening its focus and aiming to benefit shareholders, not just employees and managers.

In the summer of 2002, Suez merged its water and wastewater services into a division called Suez Environment.
Its water and wastewater business , is the second largest in the world. Suez provides water-related services to more than 115 million people worldwide. Its other business areas are electricity, natural gas, water and waste management. Suez also maintains interests in television and broadband distribution. In 2001, Suez was ranked 99th on Fortune’s Global 500, and in the same year it was ranked 19th in the world among companies with the greatest international presence, according to the United Nations World Investment Report.

Suez Environment supplies sustainable solutions for essential environmental services (water, sanitation and waste services) to industrial and individual customers around the world.

Their water services include:

   * Design, construction and startup of water treatment plants (drinking water, desalination, wastewater, and sludge treatment).
   * Production, treatment and distribution of drinking water.
   * Sewage treatment and sludge recovery.
   * Rainwater collection and treatment.
   * Optimization and complete management of the industrial water cycle.

Their waste services include:

   * Collection of domestic waste, non-hazardous and hazardous industrial waste.
   * Sorting, recycling and biological recovery.
   * Incineration with waste-to-energy recovery.
   * Landfill disposal of household and industrial waste.
   * Urban and industrial cleansing.
   * On-site and polluted-soil treatment.

SUEZ Environment did EUR 532 million in 2005 and recorded a +5.1% organic growth rate vs. +1.6% in 2004. This growth was driven by water in Europe (EUR 162 million, +5.1%) and international activities (EUR 169 million). Waste services in Europe (EUR 83 million, +1.8%). The firm recorded increases of 3% in France and 3.6% in the UK, while activity in Germany grew during the 2nd half.

Suez shares are also traded in Frankfurt, Brussles, Zurich and Suez ADRs trade on the New York Stock Exchange with the code SZE. The ADRS have traded between $26 and $37 in the last year and are in the $35 range now.

Suez is a natural resource blue chip of the world.

*********************************************************************************************************************

A followup message a few days later takes a look at an investment trust focusing on the water industry:

Our messages have been looking at the potential of water investments for over five years. Our belief is that water is an investment commodity and its value will grow.

In the U.S. alone, water demand has tripled in the past 30 years, while the population growth has been just 50%.

The 2003 Needs Assessment indicates that community water systems and not-for profit non-community water systems need $276.8 billion over the next 20 years to install, upgrade and replace infrastructure.

There are many influences that should drive growth in U.S. water companies.

First, census figures show that the American population is growing strongly.  This increases the need for new or improved water infrastructure.

Second, there is a trend toward privatization and outsourcing of government water operations.

Third, the water industry is becoming increasingly sophisticated.

Fourth increased regulations regarding water creates opportunity in both the U.S. and abroad.

There is also growing consolidation in the water industry.

Water may be the most undervalued commodity in the market.

Plus this is a recession resistant, predictable and profitable industry. Yet which water companies should we choose?

Many investors prefer to leave the specific decisions to professionals. There are mutual funds and investment trusts that invest in water, such as the Global Water Equities Portfolio.

This is an investment trust focused on investing in the utility sector along with some foreign and small-capitalization companies, all doing business somehow related to water.

The trust is managed by Boenning & Scattergood, the oldest independent investment firm in the Philadelphia region.  This firm has been in business for over 90 years and has developed a particular expertise and knowledge of the water industry, including water utilities, filtration, equipment, chemical and engineering companies.

Boenning & Scattergood select the securities and provide ongoing support relating to the U.S. Water Equities Portfolio, looks for businesses that intend to operate in a socially and environmentally correct way. They search for those that earn primary revenues and growth from some aspect of the domestic potable water industry, including: water supply, pumps and pipes, machinery and equipment, filtration and purification, compliance and testing, utilities, metering and distribution, construction and engineering, wastewater treatment and recycling.

Recent portfolio holdings include:

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY    3.00% of Portfolio
POOL SCP Pool Corporation

H E A LT H C A R E 1                 .9 5 %
Millipore Corporation

I N D U S T R I A L S               66.0 3 %
3M Company
A.O. Smith Corporation
Danaher Corporation
ESCO Technologies Incorporated
Flowserve Corporation
Franklin Electric Company Incorporated
General Electric Company
IDEX Corporation
ITT Industries Incorporated
Lamson & Sessions Company
Layne Christensen Company
Lindsay Manufacturing Company
Mueller Industries Incorporated
Pall Corporation
Pentair Incorporated
Pico Holdings Incorporated
Roper Industries Incorporated
URS Corporation
Watts Water Technologies Incorporated

MAT E R IAL S                             9.97%
Arch Chemicals Incorporated
Calgon Carbon Corporation
NLC Nalco Holding Company

U T I L I T I E S                         1 9.0 5 %
American States Water Company
Aqua America Incorporated
California Water Service Group
Middlesex Water Company
SJW Corporation
Southwest Water Company

This trust is offered by Claymore Securities, Inc. www.claymore.com

The code for this trust is CGWEAX.

Investors who want a broad spectrum of water investments should investigate trusts such as this.

****************************************************************************************************************

Gary is a guest author here at the SelfInvestors blog and provides a look into investing trends, specifically in world markets.  If you’d like to sign up for his daily newsletter or one of several seminars throughout the year in Ecuador and North Carolina, you can get all the info at his personal site.

Today’s Earnings Movers

Here are today’s notable earnings movers:
Note: fundamental rank in brackets does not include latest results

UP

  • Ctrip.com (CTRP) Resorts & Casinos, fundamental rank [27/30] up 14%, breaking out of base to new all time high; could be a record volume day
  • Eclypsis Corp (ECLP) Healthcare Info Service, fundamental rank [22/30] up 10%, continuing the bounce off the 50DMA
  • Mobile Mini (MINI) Metal Fabrication, fundamental rank [24/30] up 5%, continuing to march higher after breaking out from small base
  • Globalsantafe (GSF) Oil & Gas Drilling & Exp, fundamental rank [22/30] up 5%, reclaiming the 50DMA

DOWN

  • Amedisys (AMED), Home Health Care, [26/30], down 23%, moving average support lines taken out, next stop 28
  • Natco Group (NTG), Oil/Gas Equip & Services, [24/30], down 4%, January breakout continuing the falter

Waiting For a Move That Makes Me Go Wow!

Howdy all, apologies for the silence here of late.  Out of the blue I was struck with a nasty case of bursitus/cellulitus and am just now regaining my strength and getting better every day.  Having been in a hospital for the first time in nearly 20 years, it was a firm reminder that my health is not to be taken for granted.  I had been lucky and suppose I was due!  Anyway, I’ve been scrambling to get caught up and get my head back in the game.  It’s amazing how fast you can get behind in this business.  I do like the market here but am not 100% convinced quite yet.  The big volume just isn’t there yet and the Nasdaq has made what I would call a breakout move.  I’m just going to rundown the charts of the indices quickly, but will have a flurry of posts for you over the next week or so.  Stay tuned.

IN the  Nasdaq you can see the downward trend of lower highs over the past couple months.  We need to break that with significant volume .. then maybe i’ll get excited and say WOW!.

The dogs of the Dow continue to bark and lead this market higher.  I was looking at all the components of the Dow the other day and have to say without a doubt the most surprising component of the Dow was AT&T.  AT&T??  They’re still a company?  I thought they went bankrupt a couple years ago.. Kidding aside, Its up around 15% in the last month!  Yeah, I don’t follow too many of the Dow components.  Verizon is also joining the party.. another forgotten company.  Looks like some of that oil money is going to the old growth, dividend players.  Looking at the chart of the Dow, the price move is impressive. The volume behind that move isn’t.  Not bad, just not great.  Considering the amount of chop in this market over the last several years I want to see a convincing move.  A WOW! move.  Not quite there yet, but may be close.  Look for a new line of support above 11,000 as further confirmation that the move in the Dow is real.

 

The S&P is approaching another multi year high, it just doesn’t have a whole lot of steam behind it.

Today’s Earnings Movers

Here are today’s notable earnings movers:
Note: fundamental rank in brackets does not include latest results

UP

  • Vital Images (VTAL) Business Software & Services, fundamental rank [24/30] up 15%, surging to another all time high
  • Administaff (ASF) Staffing & Outsourcing Services, fundamental rank [24/30] up 14%, carving out the right side of a base
  • Natural Gas Services (NGS) Oil Gas Equip & Services, fundamental rank [23/30] up 11%, holding up at the 200DMA
  • Ansys (ANSS) Technical & System Software, fundamental rank [26/30] up 5%, breaking out to new all time high from sloppy base
  • Baker Hughes (BHI) Oil Gas Equip & Services, fundamental rank [25/30] up 4%, holding at the 50DMA

DOWN

  • Navigant Consulting (NCI), Business/Management Services, [23/30], down 11%, falling further below 50DMA
  • Lamson & Sessions (LMS), Diversified Electronics, [25/30], down 9%, still holding above 50DMA following recent breakout
  • Radiant Systems (RADS), Business Software  & Services, [23/30], down 5%, continuing to hold above the 50DMA
  • Advanced Auto Parts (AAP) Auto Parts Stores, [23/30], down 3%, soon to test 200DMA

Today’s Earnings Movers

Here are today’s notable earnings movers:
Note: fundamental rank in brackets does not include latest results

UP

  • Itron (ITRI) Scientific & Technical Instruments, fundamental rank [22/30] up 13%, continuing gains following breakout from double bottom base, gapped up to all time highs this morning

DOWN

  • Volcom (VLCM), Apparel Clothing, [27/30], down 16%, recovering a bit from today’s crash – was down 25% at one point!
  • RPC Inc (RES), Oil Equip & Services, [28/30], down 16%, falling further below 50DMA
  • Maritrans (TUG), Shipping, [23/30], down 13%, another shipper doesn’t meet high expectations
  • Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF), Apparell Clothing, [25/30], down 4%, still holding above 50DMA and continuing to carve out deep base; near all time highs
  • Parker Drilling (PKD) Oil & Gas Drilling/Exploration, [24/30], down 4%, nearing support of 200DMA

Today’s Earnings Movers

Here are today’s notable earnings movers – sorry so late! .. one of those days:
Note: fundamental rank in brackets does not include latest results

UP

  • Kendle International (KNDL) Drug Manufacturers, fundamental rank [25/30] up 19%, breaking out of what could be called a double bottom base (although not pretty); nearing multi hear highs
  • Radyne (RADN),Communication Equipment, [22/30] up 8%, reclaims support of the 50DMA

DOWN

  • Cutera (CUTR), Medical Appliances, [25/30], down 14%, back to support of the 200DMA
  • Forward Air (FWRD), Trucking, [25/30], down 9%, slicing through support of 200DMA
  • BlackBoard (BBBB), Multimedia & Graphics Software, [26/30], down 6%, falling back into base
  • First Advantage Corp (FADV), Business Software & Services, [24/30], down 6%, taking out support of 200DMA.. goodbye!

Oil Slick – Is the Worst Over?

As good as January was for the oils, February has been equally as bad.  Corrections like this always bring on the "is the run over" questions, so lets take a look at what the charts are telling us to avoid any irrational conclusions.  I’ve marked up a few ETF charts that I think are good representatives of the oil industry. 

Below are the Energy Ishares ETF (IYE) and the Oil Services Holders Trust (OIH).  The thing that stands out to me the most is the consistent pattern over the past year or so.  You see a very consistent trend of a sustained rise followed by a fairly sharp sell off to support (which has been close to the 50 day moving average, but drawing an upward trend line off the lows looks like a stronger area of support).  The sell off portion of the pattern is what we’re seeing now.  Based on the previous pattern it stands to reason that the bulk of the sell off is complete with  the potential for further downside risk in oil related issues of 3 – 5%. 

The Oil Services Holders Trust (OIH) is holding up much better and was able to find support at the 50 day moving average on Friday.  Whether it can hold there is anyone’s guess, but considering the tremendous move over the past few months and recent selling pressure, it wouldn’t at all be surprising to see it break that support eventually and test that trend line around 125.

The Energy Ishares ETF (IYE) is exhibiting more technical damage.  The selling volume overshadows buying volume and it remains submerged below support of the 50 day moving average.  Expect to see some oversold buying very soon, but I think ultimately it tests that trend line around 86 – 87.

The market is currently pricing in rising inventories in oil and natural gas as well as decreasing demand for ’06.  The wild card is really the Iran situation which could go either way at this point.  Certainly, oil will rise quickly if it appears that the situation is getting messy.  However, if Iran cooperates (that may be the first time that Iran and cooperates was used in the same sentence), keep an eye on those trend lines for support.

Today’s Earnings Movers – Ultimate Software (ULTI), Color Kinetics (CLRK)

Here are today’s notable earnings movers:
Note: fundamental rank in brackets does not include latest results

UP

  • Ultimate Software (ULTI) Internet Software & Services, fundamental rank [24/30] up 9%, continuing to trend higher following the breakout in December
  • Internet Initiative (IIJI),Industrial Equip Wholesale, [22/30] up 7%, carving out right side of long base
  • TheKnot.com (KNOT) Internet Info Providers, [22/30] up 4%, breaking out to multi year high

DOWN

  • Color Kinetics (CLRK), Home Furnishings, [26/30], down 11%, breakout failing; taking out 50DMA
  • Quality Systems (QSII), Healthcare Info Services, [29/30], down 10%, failed base; next level of support at 200DMA around 68
  • Barrett Business Service  (BBSI), Staffing & Outsourcing Services, [25/30], down 10%, failed base; bouncing off support at 200DMA
  • Ventana Medical Systems (VMSI), Medical Instruments & Supplies, [26/30], down 9%, falling back into long base; going nowhere fast
  • Palomar Medical Tech (PMTI), Medical Appliances & Equip, [28/30], down 9%, continues its dramatic drop over the past couple weeks; potential support around 30
  • Coventry Heath Care (CVH), Health Care Plans, [25/30], down 6%, sloppy price action of the past couple months continues; taking out 50DMA today
  • Globecomm Systems (GCOM), Processing Systems & Products, [23/30], down 6%, failed base; took out support of 50DMA and 200DMA is threatened as well
  • Arch Coal (ACI), Industrial Metals & Minerals, [23/30], down 5%, next stop: 200DMA

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