In early trading today it appeared we were headed for distribution day number 3 in just 4 days, then buyers rushed in to save the day and keep both the S&P and Nasdaq above support of their 20 day moving averages. Bullish action indeed. With volume coming in at below average levels but ahead of Friday’s levels, we’re in line for a day of accumulation (assuming of course the early selling doesn’t resume in the last hour of trading). Here are the volume levels as of 2:45PM EST)
(Note: volume averages are based on the average over the past 50 days)
Nasdaq: up .34% today with volume currently tracking 11% BELOW average
Nasdaq ETF (QQQQ): up .57%, volume 29% GREATER than average
Dow: up .06%, volume 11% BELOW average
Dow ETF (DIA): up .22%, volume 16% BELOW the average
S&P ETF (SPY): up .15%, volume 5% BELOW the average
Russell Small Cap ETF (IWM): up .06%, volume 11% BELOW the average
Leading stocks that make up the SelfInvestors Breakout Tracker database are NOT fairing well today. Volume is much heavier in declining stocks than advancing stocks.. a bearish indicator.
Summary:
* Decliners are outpacing Advancers 226 to 167.
* Advancers are up 1.27% today, but volume is 18% BELOW average
* Decliners are down 2.37% and volume is somewhat heavy at 15% ABOVE average
* The total SI Leading Stocks Index is down .82% today with volume up just a bit at 1% GREATER than the average
* Where’s the Money Flowing *
Many websites just provide leading industries based on price performance alone.. without the volume, this can be misleading. The only way that I know of to guage industry/sector strength WITH volume levels is through the analysis of ETF’s. A couple years ago this was not possible, but as more traders/investors use ETF’s they become a much better tool for guaging the health of the market and seeing where the money is flowing (or not flowing). Using the proprietary SelfInvestors Demand Indicator score which measures price and volume movements, I’m able to quickly see which sectors/industries are seeing the greatest inflows of cash.
* Leading Sectors/Industries – Consumer Discretionary, Technology, Pharma, Financial, Realty
* Lagging Sectors/Industries – Energy, Energy, Energy.. and Energy. Transports too.
* Today, Homebuilders, Broadband, Semis, Retail and Consumer Services are moving up with volume
* Gold and Energy are selling off today with significant volume
** Stocks **
This area still under development.