Colfax (CFX) & Real Goods Solar (RSOL) IPOs Begin Trading

Posted By Tate Dwinnell |  Subscribe in a reader

The number of decent IPO's coming to market is picking up to a slow trickle and today two IPO's worth watching began trading - Colfax (CFX), a global supplier of pumps for the water and oil industry & Real Goods Solar (RSOL), one of the largest installers of solar energy systems. 

colfax_cfx Colfax (CFX) began its life as a public company with a bang opening up at 24/share but finishing the day 3 bucks lower at 21/share.  Still well ahead of the 18/share initial price which raised the company 338 million.

According to Google Finance, the company is a global supplier of a range of fluid handling products, including pumps, fluid handling systems and specialty valves. The Company is a manufacturer of rotary positive displacement pumps, which include screw pumps, gear pumps and progressive cavity pumps. Its products serve a variety of applications in five markets: commercial marine, oil and gas, power generation, global navy and general industrial. The Company’s are marketed principally under the Allweiler, Fairmount, Houttuin, Imo, LSC, Portland Valve, Tushaco, Warren and Zenith brand names. Colfax Corporation’s customer base includes commercial, industrial, marine and governmental customers, such as Alfa Laval, Cummins, General Dynamics, Hyundai Heavy Industries, Siemens, Solar Turbines, Thyssenkrupp, the United States Navy and various sovereign navies around the world. In January 2007, the Company acquired Lubrication Systems Company. In November 2007, it acquired Fairmount Automation, Inc.

The financials appear to be strong and the company said that 2007 net income rose to $64.9 million on revenue of $506 million from net income of $94,000 on revenue of $394 million in 2006, but it's difficult to say how much of that is through acquisitions rather than organic growth.  I have not poured over the numbers in Colfax but will let it trade it for a couple weeks as I do with all IPO's then take a closer look at the financials and technicals.

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real_goods_rsol It was not such a good day for Real Goods Solar (RSOL) as the stock finished considerably lower than the $10 that it initially priced at with much of the proceeds going to parent company Gaiam.  As I mentioned in a previous post, Real Goods Solar is a subsidiary of Gaiam (GAIA), the environmentally friendly lifestyle products retailer.

From the website of Real Goods:

Real Goods has led the Sustainable Living market through sales, education and installation of solar and other renewable energy products. As the original and most experienced solar installer, we are ideally positioned to install solar on your home or business. In fact, there has never been a better time to go solar! Rebates and tax incentives like those in Colorado and California have made solar power systems more affordable than ever.

The decision to go solar is the first step. Now you must choose an experienced, reliable partner to walk you through the process—from design to installation to rebate paperwork—we’re with you every step of the way.

  • We sold the very first solar panel in the US in 1978 and expect to be here for many decades to come.
  • Real Goods has installed 2500 homes (and counting) with unparalleled and caring customer service.
  • Instant rebate –no paperwork and waiting for reimbursement.
  • 20+ years construction experience.

The company says it's installed more residential energy systems in the US than any other company, including competitor Akeena Solar (AKNS) which reported awful results this morning.  Akeena said losses soared to 4.6 million, despite revenues nearly doubling.  Real Goods has been turning some profits and appears to be the better play in the residential solar installation field.

Model Portfolio Video Review 5.6.08 (premium)

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Selling in May Is Not a Bad Strategy

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I've been talking quite a bit about the formiddable resistance areas the indices are now testing and not much has changed there, so I'll keep it brief and just throw up the charts.  Actually, the real reason is that it's Sunday and a real beauty in Seattle where I'm visiting for the weekend.  The last thing I want to be doing is discussing the market. 

The Nasdaq briefly took out the downward trend line on Friday but ultimately closed below this important level of resistance.  While volume levels still indicate that bulls are in control, the market is currently very much oversold and facing formiddable resistance levels.  I think we could get another 2% out of this run, but I've already begun paring back long positions.  Be on the lookout for distribution or churn days to signal that this run has fully run its course.  We haven't seen this yet, but it should happen soon.



The S&P cleared and held above the downward trend line on Friday, clearing the way for a potential test of the next level of resistance around the 200 day moving average.  There appears to be some momentum left in this market which should carry the S&P up to this level, but as I said above be on the lookout for distribution.  That will signal the beginning of the end for this rally.

I mentioned in the last report that I thought it would be difficult for the Dow to get above the downward trend line and if so it would still have to face tough resistance of the 200 day moving average.  Well, it's cleared the downtrend and briefly nudged above the 200 day moving average.  An impressive showing for the Dow for sure and if distribution doesn't show up soon it could very well test the next level of resistance just above 13500. 

The bottom line is that this market has come quite far, quite fast as the indices negotiate tough resistance levels heading into what is notoriously a very difficult month for the market.  Beginning a month ago, I was adding positions on the pull backs but now I'm selling into rallies rather then waiting for a big day of distribution.  Essentially I'm getting much more conservative after locking in some big profits over the past few weeks and will stick to very short term trading over the next several weeks to capitalize on any additional strength.  If you're not a short term trader, it probably makes sense to move a big portion to cash over the next month or so. 

::: Model Portfolio :::

** This section will now appear as a separate report about every other Wednesday. 

The Self Investors Model Portolio wrapped up 2007 with a 30.2% gain.  Would you like to receive buy and sell alerts within minutes (NEW! now get them via instant messaging in near real time) of each transaction in the portfolio?  You can receive these along with ALL of the tracking tools and reports with the very popular Gold membership.  Don't delay, get started today and join me for many more highly profitable months here at SelfInvestors.com.

::: Best/Worst Performers :::

- Top 10 Performing Industries For the Week -

1. Major Airlines: 13.05%
2. Confectioners: 12.65%
3. Credit Services: 8.85%
4. Asset Management: 8.65%
5. Regional Airlines: 8.20%
6. Education & Training Services: 7.80%
7. Long Term Care Facilities:  7.45%
8. Food Wholesale: 7.20%
9. Toy & Hobby Store: 6.90%
10. Grocery Stores: 6.70%

- Top 10 Worst Performing Industries For the Week -

1. Heavy Construction: -7.40%
2. Farm Products: -6.85%
3. Music & Video Stores: -6.30%
4. Nonmetallic Mineral & Mining: -6.20%
5. Silver: -6.05%
6. Cigarettes: -5.20%
7. Copper: -5.00%
8. Packaging & Containers: -4.95%
9. Agricultural Chemicals: -4.90%
10. Medical Practitioners: -6.00%

- Top 5 Best Performing ETFs For the Week -

1. Greater China Fund (GCH)  11.30%
2. Morgan Stanley China (CAF) 11.20%
3. Japan Small Cap (JOF) 7.20%
4. iShares Brazil (EWZ) 6.60%
5. Morgan Stanley (IIF) 5.40%

- Worst 5 Performing ETF's -

1. Market Vectors Agribusiness (MOO) -5.20%
2. Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) -4.75%
3. Asa Gold (ASA) -4.60%
4. SPDR Materials (XLB)  -3.35%
5. Malaysia Fund (MAY) -3.30%

:::  IPO's Worth Watching for This Week :::

This section will now appear as a separate post on Mondays.

While 2008 should be a much slower year for IPO's considering the deterioration of the market, there will continue to be some good companies coming to market here and there.  I'll be highlighting the best IPO's every Monday.

::: Upcoming Economic Reports (5/4/2008- 5/9/2008) :::

Monday:        ISM Services 
Tuesday:       None
Wednesday:  Productivity, Pending Home Sales, Consumer Credit, Crude Inventories
Thursday:      Initial Claims, Wholesale Inventories
Friday:           Trade Balance

::: Earnings I'm Watching This Week :::

Monday: 
Alpha Natural Resources (ANR), Cleveland Cliffs (CLF), Continental Resources (CLR), eResearch (ERES), Gafisa (GFA), Partner Communications (PTNR), Tidewater (TDW), Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Tuesday:
Banco Itau (ITU), Blue Nile (NILE), Cisco (CSCO), Corrections Corp (CXW), DR Horton (DHI), Henry Schein (HSIC), NYSE Euronext (NYX), Simcere Pharma (SCR), Sun Hydraulics (SNHY), Synchronoss Tech (SNCR), Ultra Petroleum (UPL)

Wednesday:
AirMedia (AMCN), Allis Chalmers (ALY), American Oriental (AOB), Clean Harbors (CLHB), Credicorp (BAP), Crocs (CROX), Devon Energy (DVN), Expeditors Intl (EXPD), Foster Wheeler (FWLT), FTI Consulting (FTI), Hansen Natural (HANS), Mindray Medical (MR), Perini Corp (PCR), T3 Energy Services (TTES), Yamana Gold (AUY), Transocean (RIG)

Thursday:
Aecom (ACM), Akeena Solar (AKNS), Arena Resources (ARD), Balchem (BCPC), Ceco Environmental (CECE), Dawson Geophysical (DWSN), Delta Petroleum (DPTR), Flotek (FTK), Global Industries (GLBL), Koppers Holdings (KOP), NGAS Resources (NGAS), Nvidia (NVDA), Pioneer Drilling (PDC), Priceline.com (PCLN), Ricks Cabaret (RICK), NASDAQ Group (NDAQ), Toyota Motor ™, Unibanco (UBB), Watson Wyatt (WW)

Friday:
Rosetta Resources (ROSE), US Global Investors (GROW)

::: In Case You Missed It - SelfInvestors Blog Entries of the Past Week :::

1. Barry Hot on the Heels of the Plunge Protection Plunge Team

2. Visa (V) Vs. Mastercard (MA): Earnings Results

3. Peak Oil, Peak Water.. We're All Gonna Die

4. Buying International Stocks

 

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