{"id":974,"date":"2008-04-09T20:37:46","date_gmt":"2008-04-10T01:37:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uncategorized\/coiling-for-big-rally-leaders-with-momentum-atw-mtl-sd-ecol\/"},"modified":"2008-04-09T21:07:02","modified_gmt":"2008-04-10T02:07:02","slug":"coiling-for-big-rally-leaders-with-momentum-atw-mtl-sd-ecol","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/coiling-for-big-rally-leaders-with-momentum-atw-mtl-sd-ecol\/","title":{"rendered":"Coiling For Big Rally? Leaders With Momentum &#8211; ATW, MTL, SD, ECOL"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the market quietly digests the big gain of last Tuesday, the big story continues to be oil which hit an all time intraday high today of 112.21\/barrel and held on to much of the gains to mark an all time closing high of 110.93.&#160; The market was certainly weighed down with oil breaking out again, but overall not a bad day today.&#160; Sell volume came in below average just as it has for the past few weeks and I think we&#8217;re still in good shape for the possibility of another big rally attempt&#8230; BUT, time is running out.&#160; The longer we meander and don&#8217;t follow through from last Tuesday, the greater the chances of taking out new support levels which sets us up for another test of the lows of this correction.&#160; I think the odds are greater for another leg higher and am trading accordingly.&#160; Bad news of late has little impact on this market and when it does, there is little conviction of sellers.&#160; <\/p>\n<p>Taking a look at the S&amp;P you see we took out the lows of the past few trading days setting up a show down with the 50 day moving average in the coming days and possibly a test of new support of the downward trend line which was broken with the big surge last Tuesday.&#160; So, a bit more room to go on the downside before a failure of this rally is a concern.&#160; <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/4908_spy.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px\" height=\"424\" alt=\"4908_spy\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/4908_spy_thumb.gif\" width=\"493\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>Sell volume ticked up a bit in the Nasdaq, but still came in well below average.&#160; As far as I&#8217;m concerned a healthy day of consolidation, but a test of the 50 day moving average around 2300 is almost a given with the possibility of dropping a bit further to test new support of the downward trend and the gap of last Tuesday around 2275.&#160; <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/4908_naz.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px\" height=\"423\" alt=\"4908_naz\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/4908_naz_thumb.gif\" width=\"491\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>The Dow actually came very close to testing new support of the downward trend line but that was averted with a fairly impressive last hour rally today.&#160; The critical area for the Dow is around 12400.&#160; We need to hold above there to keep this rally intact.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/4908_dow.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px\" height=\"426\" alt=\"4908_dow\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/4908_dow_thumb.gif\" width=\"492\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Major Indices Performance &#8211; The Numbers :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>(Note: volume averages are based on the average over the past 50 days)     <br \/>Data as of 4:00EST &#8211; End of Day April 9th, 2008     <br \/>Nasdaq: DOWN 1.13% today with volume 1% BELOW average     <br \/>Nasdaq ETF (QQQQ) DOWN 1.12%, volume 20% BELOW average     <br \/>Dow: DOWN .39%, with volume 24% BELOW the average     <br \/>Dow ETF (DIA): DOWN .38%, with volume 5% BELOW the average     <br \/>S&amp;P ETF (SPY): DOWN .72%,&#160; with volume 17% BELOW the average     <br \/>Russell Small Cap ETF (IWM): DOWN 1.7%, with volume 19% BELOW the average<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: SelflInvestors Leading Stocks :::      <br \/><\/strong>    <br \/>The Self Investors Leading Stocks Index is comprised of stocks in the Breakout Tracker, which is a database of the fastest growing companies near a breakout or having already broken out of a base.&#160; There continues to be no leadership in this market and that was reflected today with Self Investors Leading Stocks down significantly more than the general market.<\/p>\n<p>Summary:    <br \/>* Decliners led Advancers 139 to 65     <br \/>* Advancers were up an average of 1.44% today, with volume 2% ABOVE average     <br \/>* Decliners were down an average of 1.88% with volume 20% BELOW the average     <br \/>* The total SI Leading Stocks Index was DOWN .82% today with volume 13% BELOW average<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Where&#8217;s the Money Flowing :::<\/strong>     <br \/>Many investing websites provide leading industries based on price performance alone. However, without accompanying volume levels, this can sometimes be misleading.&#160; The only way that I know of to gauge industry\/sector strength WITH volume levels is through the analysis of ETF&#8217;s.&#160; A couple years ago this was not possible, but as more traders\/investors use ETF&#8217;s they become a much better tool for gauging the health of the market and seeing where the money is flowing (or not flowing).&#160; Using the proprietary SelfInvestors Demand Indicator score which measures price and volume movements, I&#8217;m able to quickly see which sectors\/industries are seeing the greatest inflows of cash.&#160; For a detailed look at how I go about gauging sector\/industry strength please see the following post: <a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/si\/industry_tracking\/\">http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/si\/industry_tracking\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* Current Leading Sectors\/Industries (over last 30 trading days measuring price AND volume):&#160;&#160; <br \/>Intl Utilities, Global Timber, Staples <\/p>\n<p>you might be thinking.. where is oil and commodities? those sectors have shown too much distribution over the past 30 days to be considered leaders under my criteria    <\/p>\n<p>* Current Lagging Sectors\/Industries (over last 30 trading days measuring price AND volume):&#160; <br \/>Health Care Providers, Nuclear Energy, Networking, Aerospace\/Defense     <\/p>\n<p>* Today&#8217;s Market Moving Industries\/Sectors (UP):     <br \/>Precious Metals, Oil, Commodities, Semis (liking the action in semis recently)<\/p>\n<p>* Today&#8217;s Market Moving Industries\/Sectors (DOWN):    <br \/>Home Construction, Transports, Retail, Realty, Consumer Discretionary     <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Stocks :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The stocks section will be an area where I highlight one stock selected from a group of stocks moving up with volume well above average and most likely breaking out of a base or consolidation.&#160; No time to highlight a stock of the day today, but you might want to take a look at this handful of leading stocks moving up with volume today (listed in order of Total Rank &#8211; fundamentals + technicals)<\/p>\n<p>Atwood Oceanics (ATW) &#8211; double bottom breakout    <br \/>Mechel (MTL) &#8211; bullish triangle breakout     <br \/>Sand Ridge Energy (SD) &#8211; ascending triangle breakout     <br \/>American Ecology (ECOL) &#8211; breakout of nearly 2 year base     <br \/>Atlas Energy (ATN) &#8211; testing all time highs     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the market quietly digests the big gain of last Tuesday, the big story continues to be oil which hit an all time intraday high today of 112.21\/barrel and held on to much of the gains to mark an all time closing high of 110.93.&#160; The market was certainly weighed down with oil breaking out &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/coiling-for-big-rally-leaders-with-momentum-atw-mtl-sd-ecol\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Coiling For Big Rally? Leaders With Momentum &#8211; ATW, MTL, SD, ECOL<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-974","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/974","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=974"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/974\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=974"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=974"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=974"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}