{"id":895,"date":"2007-12-11T21:29:36","date_gmt":"2007-12-12T02:29:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/a-classic-sell-the-news-result-to-fed-rate-cut-stock-of-day-synchronoss-technologies-sncr\/"},"modified":"2007-12-11T21:29:36","modified_gmt":"2007-12-12T02:29:36","slug":"a-classic-sell-the-news-result-to-fed-rate-cut-stock-of-day-synchronoss-technologies-sncr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/a-classic-sell-the-news-result-to-fed-rate-cut-stock-of-day-synchronoss-technologies-sncr\/","title":{"rendered":"A Classic &#8220;Sell the News&#8221; Result to Fed Rate Cut; Stock of Day &#8211; Synchronoss Technologies (SNCR)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Today&#8217;s somewhat dramatic sell off should not have been too much of a surprise (ok I suppose the small chance of a 50 bp would have produced a different result) so I hope EVERYONE profited accordingly.&nbsp; The&nbsp;market sells off with heavy volume, rises to overbought conditions (more than I expected) with diminishing buy volume as the market prices in the 25 bp cut and sells off on the news and sells BIG.&nbsp; In a divergence from most of the action of 2007, the market actually moved in the direction it was forecasting for once.&nbsp; It does feel good to be positioned correctly and profit in a down day like this doesn&#8217;t it?<\/p>\n<p>So now what?&nbsp; Well .. we wait.&nbsp; Remember that the first reaction to a Fed announcement is often times a false move, so it&#8217;s going to take a day or two for the Fed rate cut dust to settle and get a true sense of the technical picture.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Major Indices Performance &#8211; The Numbers :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>(Note: volume averages are based on the average over the past 50 days)<br \/>\nData as of 4:00EST &#8211; End of Day December 11th 2007<\/p>\n<p>Nasdaq: DOWN 2.45% today with volume 1%&nbsp;ABOVE average<br \/>\nNasdaq ETF (QQQQ) DOWN 2.32%, volume 3%&nbsp;BELOW average<br \/>\nDow: DOWN 2.14%, with volume 14% ABOVE the average<br \/>\nDow ETF (DIA):&nbsp;DOWN 2.18%, with volume 32% ABOVE the average<br \/>\nS&amp;P ETF (SPY): DOWN 2.74%,&nbsp; with volume 23% ABOVE the average<br \/>\nRussell Small Cap ETF (IWM): DOWN 3.51%, with volume 37%&nbsp;ABOVE the average<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: SelflInvestors Leading Stocks :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Self Investors Leading Stocks Index is comprised of stocks in the Breakout Tracker, which is a database of the fastest growing companies near a breakout or having already broken out of a base.&nbsp; Leading stocks were hit harder than the major indices today but not as hard as the small caps that make up the Russell 2000.&nbsp; If there is a bright spot today, it&#8217;s that volume wasn&#8217;t overwhelming on the sell side.<br \/>\nSummary:<\/p>\n<p>* Decliners led Advancers 278 to 30<br \/>\n* Advancers were up an average of 1.56% today, with volume 62%&nbsp;ABOVE average<br \/>\n* Decliners were down an average of 3.51% with volume at the average<br \/>\n* The total SI Leading Stocks Index was DOWN 3.02% today with volume 6% ABOVE average<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Where&#8217;s the Money Flowing :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Many investing websites provide leading industries based on price performance alone. However, without accompanying volume levels, this can sometimes be misleading.&nbsp; The only way that I know of to gauge industry\/sector strength WITH volume levels is through the analysis of ETF&#8217;s.&nbsp; A couple years ago this was not possible, but as more traders\/investors use ETF&#8217;s they become a much better tool for gauging the health of the market and seeing where the money is flowing (or not flowing).&nbsp; Using the proprietary SelfInvestors Demand Indicator score which measures price and volume movements, I&#8217;m able to quickly see which sectors\/industries are seeing the greatest inflows of cash.&nbsp; For a detailed look at how I go about gauging sector\/industry strength please see the following post: <a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/si\/industry_tracking\/\">http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/si\/industry_tracking\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* Current Leading Sectors\/Industries (over last 30 trading days):&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\nDynamic Utilities, Pharma, Commodities, Energy,&nbsp;Basic Materials, Agriculture<br \/>\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <br \/>\n* Current Lagging Sectors\/Industries (over last 30 trading days):&nbsp; <br \/>\nNetworking, Retail, Semis, Nuclear Energy, Telecom<\/p>\n<p>* Today&#8217;s Market Moving Industries\/Sectors (UP): <br \/>\nBonds &amp; Telecom<\/p>\n<p>* Today&#8217;s Market Moving Industries\/Sectors (DOWN):<br \/>\nHome Construction, Realty, Financials<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Stocks :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The stocks section will be an area where I highlight one stock selected from a group of stocks moving up with volume well above average and most likely breaking out of a base or consolidation.&nbsp; Despite a day where few leading stocks rose with volume, Synchronoss Technologies (SNCR) surged above its 50 day moving average with volume and is today&#8217;s Stock of the Day.<\/p>\n<p>ABOUT:&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uploads\/Image\/SNCR_logo.gif\" align=\"left\" \/>Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. (Synchronoss) is a provider of on-demand, multi-channel transaction management solutions to communications service providers (CSPs). The Company has designed its solution to be flexible across communication services and channels (such as e-commerce, CSP stores and other retail outlets), allowing it to meet the changing and converging services offered by CSPs. Synchronoss targets complex and high-growth markets, including wireless, high-speed access (such as cable, digital subscriber line (DSL) and Wi-Max), voice over Internet protocol (VoIP), video and also target CSPG&#8217;s bundling of these services (double, triple and quadruple plays) and their intersection (video over wireless, Internet protocol television (IPTV), content activation). The Company&#8217;s ActivationNow platform automates, synchronizes and simplifies electronic order management, activation and provisioning of these services.<\/p>\n<p>FUNDAMENTALS:&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>Synchronoss (SNCR) is a company that grew rapidly at the beginning of the 21st century but didn&#8217;t turn it&#8217;s first profitable year until 2005 when it earned .31\/share.&nbsp; The company hit a brief rough patch in the middle of &#8217;06 when it posted 2 consecutive quarters of negative growth.&nbsp; However, over the past year, the company has begun firing on all cylinders and has posted accelerating earnings and sales growth in each of the past 4 quarters.&nbsp; That kind of growth has led to &#8217;07 estimates of more than a doubling of profits over &#8217;06.&nbsp; With net margins around 20%, ROE around 20% and management ownership hovering around 35%, SNCR has ALL of the components of a Self Investors leading company.<\/p>\n<p>TECHNICAL:&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I typically feature leading stocks that are near a breakout or have already broken out of a sound basing pattern, but SNCR is a bit early in the formation process.&nbsp; The stock spent most of October and November digesting gains after a long runup in which the stock soared more than 500% in just over a year.&nbsp; A remarkable run.&nbsp; This is the first significant base for the stock since going public in the summer of 2006, so there is quite a bit of room left to run.&nbsp; Currently, it&#8217;s carving out a cup base with the bottom of the base finding support right at the 200 day moving average.&nbsp; Sell volume has begun to dry up and buyers are beginning to exert some control again.&nbsp; Today, it was up more than 10% at one point before it sold off after the Fed rate cut, leading to a high volume reversal on the daily chart.&nbsp; This kind of action typically indicates the stock will need to at the very least spend some time sideways and at worst retest the lows of the base.&nbsp; Either way, you want to see the stock carve out a nice looking handle formation with quiet volume, then result in a big breakout above today&#8217;s high (42.58).&nbsp; It&#8217;s probably at least a week or two away from attempting a breakout, but SNCR is without a doubt one leading stock you&#8217;ll want to put at the top of your watch list.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uploads\/Image\/121107_sncr.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>SELFINVESTORS RATING: With a total score of 51\/60 (27\/30 for fundamentals, 24\/30 for technical),&nbsp;Synchronoss (SNCR)&nbsp;is a highly rated Self Investors leading stock.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Full Disclosure\/Disclaimer<\/strong>: The stock of the day is by no means a buy recommendation.&nbsp; Please do your own research and make a personal decision based on your own tolerance for risk.&nbsp; I currently do not own a position in Synchronoss Technologies (SNCR)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today&#8217;s somewhat dramatic sell off should not have been too much of a surprise (ok I suppose the small chance of a 50 bp would have produced a different result) so I hope EVERYONE profited accordingly.&nbsp; The&nbsp;market sells off with heavy volume, rises to overbought conditions (more than I expected) with diminishing buy volume as &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/a-classic-sell-the-news-result-to-fed-rate-cut-stock-of-day-synchronoss-technologies-sncr\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">A Classic &#8220;Sell the News&#8221; Result to Fed Rate Cut; Stock of Day &#8211; Synchronoss Technologies (SNCR)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=895"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/895\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}