{"id":783,"date":"2007-08-16T22:56:40","date_gmt":"2007-08-17T03:56:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/massive-capitulation-stock-of-day-morningstar-morn-revisited\/"},"modified":"2007-08-16T22:56:40","modified_gmt":"2007-08-17T03:56:40","slug":"massive-capitulation-stock-of-day-morningstar-morn-revisited","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/massive-capitulation-stock-of-day-morningstar-morn-revisited\/","title":{"rendered":"Massive Capitulation; Stock of Day &#8211; Morningstar (MORN) Revisited"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I mentioned yesterday &quot;the Dow has hit major support here at the 200 day moving average and the upward trend line around 12800 but as we&#8217;ve seen with major support levels in both the Nasdaq and S&amp;P, the momentum to the downside puts this major support level at risk&quot;.&nbsp;&nbsp; Many times areas of big support such as this support area in the Dow don&#8217;t provide support right at the line, particularly when emotions are high and fear based selling kicks in.&nbsp; Rather, you often get some kind of capitulation &#8211; a large flush of weak hands, people scrambling to get sell orders in.&nbsp; Essentially throwing in the towel.&nbsp; An exhaustion of weak hand selling, bargain hunting and some big time short covering can fuel unbelievable rallies as we saw today.&nbsp; After all that, the Dow still has support of its 200 day moving average and upward trend line.&nbsp; The lows of today will act as a line in the sand, an area of significant support.&nbsp;&nbsp; The move at the end of the day today was forceful and it is enough of a springboard for a dead cat bounce.&nbsp; However, let&#8217;s keep in mind that most of the move today was in the worst hit industries such as financial, homebuilers and REIT&#8217;s.&nbsp; Has anything changed really? No.&nbsp; The market was way oversold and just needs to retrace some of the downward move.&nbsp; As I&#8217;ve said before the big money will be made on the short side and any bounces, particularly weak volume bounces provide areas for short entries.&nbsp; You have to believe that there are lots of people out there that have been piling up significant losses are just itching to get out with a wash or much smaller losses.&nbsp; We have room to run a bit here, but this is NOT the time to be getting aggressive on the long side.&nbsp; Patience.&nbsp; I&#8217;ll have a full run down of the charts in the Weekly Report on Sunday night.&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Major Indices Performance &#8211; The Numbers :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>(Note: volume averages are based on the average over the past 50 days)<br \/>\nData as of 4:00EST &#8211; End of Day August 16th 2007<\/p>\n<p>Nasdaq:&nbsp;DOWN .32% today with volume 38%&nbsp;BELOW&nbsp; average<br \/>\nNasdaq ETF (QQQQ)&nbsp;DOWN .98%, volume 146%&nbsp;ABOVE average<br \/>\nDow:&nbsp;DOWN .12%, with volume 64% ABOVE the average<br \/>\nDow ETF (DIA):&nbsp;UP .23%, volume 162%&nbsp;ABOVE the average<br \/>\nS&amp;P ETF (SPY):&nbsp;UP .75%, volume 154%&nbsp;ABOVE the average<br \/>\nRussell Small Cap ETF (IWM):&nbsp;2.06%, volume 199%&nbsp;ABOVE the average<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: SelflInvestors Leading Stocks :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Self Investors Leading Stocks Index is comprised of stocks in the Breakout Tracker, which is a database of the fastest growing companies near a breakout or having already broken out of a base.&nbsp; Leading stocks did not do well today despite the big market reversal.<\/p>\n<p>Summary:<\/p>\n<p>* Decliners led Advancers&nbsp;213 to 129<br \/>\n* Advancers were up an average of 2.34% today, with volume 43%&nbsp;ABOVE average<br \/>\n* Decliners were down an average of 3.06% with volume 83%&nbsp;ABOVE average<br \/>\n* The total SI Leading Stocks Index was&nbsp;DOWN 1.02% today with volume 68%&nbsp;ABOVE average<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Where&#8217;s the Money Flowing :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Many investing websites provide leading industries based on price performance alone. However, without accompanying volume levels, this can sometimes be misleading.&nbsp; The only way that I know of to gauge industry\/sector strength WITH volume levels is through the analysis of ETF&#8217;s.&nbsp; A couple years ago this was not possible, but as more traders\/investors use ETF&#8217;s they become a much better tool for gauging the health of the market and seeing where the money is flowing (or not flowing).&nbsp; Using the proprietary SelfInvestors Demand Indicator score which measures price and volume movements, I&#8217;m able to quickly see which sectors\/industries are seeing the greatest inflows of cash.&nbsp; For a detailed look at how I go about gauging sector\/industry strength please see the following post: <a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/si\/industry_tracking\/\">http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/si\/industry_tracking\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* Current Leading Sectors\/Industries (over last 30 trading days):&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\nStill Just Bonds!<br \/>\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <br \/>\n* Current Lagging Sectors\/Industries (over last 30 trading days):&nbsp; <br \/>\nBroker\/Dealers, Gold Miners, Utilities, Materials, Retail<\/p>\n<p>\n* Today&#8217;s Market Moving Industries\/Sectors (UP): <br \/>\nRegional Banks, REITs, Homebuilders, Financial<\/p>\n<p>* Today&#8217;s Market Moving Industries\/Sectors (DOWN):<br \/>\nGold, Gold Miners, International Real Estate<\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Stocks :::<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The stocks section will be an area where I highlight one stock selected from a group of stocks moving up with volume well above average and most likely breaking out of a base or consolidation.&nbsp; Today&#8217;s stock is a stock I covered back in February when it first broke out of a base &#8211; Morningstar (MORN).&nbsp; Most of the leading stocks that I track that moved with volume today were stocks that had beaten down&nbsp; and were recovering from oversold conditions.&nbsp; Morningstar (MORN) was one of the few near all time highs that moved with volume.&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/smallmid-caps-lead-way-as-nasdaq-breaks-out-stock-of-day-morningstar-morn\/\">See my previous commentary on Morningstar (MORN).<\/a>&nbsp; Here&#8217;s an updated look at the current technical action:<\/p>\n<p>I first highlighted the stock when it broke out above 47 back in February.&nbsp; It quickly spiked 20% higher before settling into another base.&nbsp; It wasn&#8217;t until the company reported outstanding earnings that the stock gapped up with record volume out of a cup with no handle base to a new all time high.&nbsp; Very bullish action.&nbsp; The stock is now digesting some of those gains and nearing another entry point.&nbsp; I&#8217;m going to be looking to get in between 55 &#8211; 57.\n<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uploads\/Image\/8162007_morn.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Full Disclosure\/Disclaimer<\/strong>: The stock of the day is by no means a buy recommendation.&nbsp; Please do your own research and make a personal decision based on your own tolerance for risk.&nbsp; I currently do not own a position in Morningstar (MORN)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I mentioned yesterday &quot;the Dow has hit major support here at the 200 day moving average and the upward trend line around 12800 but as we&#8217;ve seen with major support levels in both the Nasdaq and S&amp;P, the momentum to the downside puts this major support level at risk&quot;.&nbsp;&nbsp; Many times areas of big support &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/massive-capitulation-stock-of-day-morningstar-morn-revisited\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Massive Capitulation; Stock of Day &#8211; Morningstar (MORN) Revisited<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/783\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}