{"id":782,"date":"2007-08-15T21:38:11","date_gmt":"2007-08-16T02:38:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/analyst-upgradesdowgrades\/a-history-of-analyst-upgradesdowngrades-countrywide-financial-cfc-american-home-mortgage-ahm-thornburg-tma\/"},"modified":"2007-08-15T21:47:10","modified_gmt":"2007-08-16T02:47:10","slug":"a-history-of-analyst-upgradesdowngrades-countrywide-financial-cfc-american-home-mortgage-ahm-thornburg-tma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/analyst-upgradesdowgrades\/a-history-of-analyst-upgradesdowngrades-countrywide-financial-cfc-american-home-mortgage-ahm-thornburg-tma\/","title":{"rendered":"A History of Analyst Upgrades\/Downgrades &#8211; Countrywide Financial (CFC), American Home Mortgage (AHM), Thornburg (TMA)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I just had to delay the after market report to get this post written.. the market report will come later tonight.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>It was mighty amusing to see the sell ratings on Thornburg Mortgage from Citigroup and AG Edwards today.&nbsp; Oh OK, right got it.&nbsp; Now I should no longer hold TMA and dump it.&nbsp; Great work and great timing guys.&nbsp; Or how about the sell rating on Countrywide Financial (CFC) out of Merrill Lynch this morning from Kenneth Bruce just days after he called the issues with CFC media sensationalization.&nbsp; Again, fantastic timing.&nbsp; Remind me again exactly what you guys get paid the big bucks for?&nbsp; Apparently we are seeing the same thing in the lender business as we saw back in the internet bubble days.&nbsp; Despite the lawsuits and the promises, the jail sentences&#8230; nothing has really changed.&nbsp; It&#8217;s the same game.&nbsp; Either these analysts are asleep at the wheel, incredibly incompetent in getting to the truth about the company&#8217;s they are paid to cover or flat out frauds.&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.winninginvesting.com\/\">Harry Domash<\/a> wrote up an excellent piece today <a href=\"http:\/\/articles.moneycentral.msn.com\/Investing\/SimpleStrategies\/HowAnalystsMissedAMeltdown.aspx\">highlighting the downfall of American Home Mortgage (AHM)<\/a> and the analyst upgrades\/dowgrades along the way.&nbsp; I&#8217;m sure there are other excellent articles out there from fellow bloggers that I have missed or just haven&#8217;t had the time to read so if anyone reading this has a link I&#8217;d be happy to post it here.&nbsp; Below are histories of upgrades and downgrades for 3 lenders with plummeting stock prices (AHM has filed for bankruptcy).&nbsp; It&#8217;s very interesting to see when the upgrades\/downgrades were made.<\/p>\n<p>Below is the history for Thornburg Mortgage (TMA).&nbsp; What stands out to me here is the hold rating from&nbsp;&nbsp;Deustche Securities, the <font style=\"BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffff00\">buy rating from&nbsp;AG Edwards<\/font> and the sector perform rating from RBC Capital Markets at the end of April.&nbsp; These guys must take long vacations because it wasn&#8217;t until Aug 7th AFTER the stock plunged 30% over several days that Deutsche Securities was the first to downgraded the stock.&nbsp; Three days later AG Edwards downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold!&nbsp; As if they were just reacting to news that we all receive on these companies and not acting on the best inside research money can buy, the sell rating didn&#8217;t come until a full week later.&nbsp; That was today.&nbsp; The stock had already plunged another 60% before that sell rating came.&nbsp; Job well done.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>Upgrade\/Downgrade History from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\">Briefing.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"thornburg tma upgrades downgrades history\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uploads\/Image\/tma_upgrades_downgrades.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This is a fun one.&nbsp;.. American Home Mortgage (AHM).&nbsp; A lender that has filed for bankruptcy with investors heeding the advice of these brokers losing everything.&nbsp; How about that, our good friend AG Edward showing up again!&nbsp; This time recommending a buy on a company that would just a few months later declare bankruptcy.&nbsp; Notice they last issue a downgrade to hold on May 1st, then nothing more&#8230; maintaining a hold all the way into bankruptcy.&nbsp; Sorry for singling you out AG Edwards, but you guys are really on a roll here!<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uploads\/Image\/ahm_upgrade_downgrade1.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This has to be&nbsp;my favorite upgrade of them all.&nbsp; Keefe Bruyette upgraded Countrywide just over 2 weeks ago after the company missed estimates and guided lower.&nbsp; Not only that, but the CEO of Countrywide made the following comments in the conference call:<\/p>\n<p>&quot;During the quarter, softening home prices continued to affect many areas of the country and delinquencies and defaults continued to rise across all mortgage product categories as a result. Due to these adverse conditions, the Company incurred increased credit-related costs in the quarter, primarily related to its investments in prime home equity loans.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>&quot;We are experiencing home price depreciation almost like never before, with the exception of the Great Depression&quot;<\/p>\n<p>This sounds like a reason to upgrade to me!&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"countrywide finacial cfc upgrades downgrades\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/uploads\/Image\/cfc_upgrades_downgrades.gif\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I just had to delay the after market report to get this post written.. the market report will come later tonight.&nbsp; It was mighty amusing to see the sell ratings on Thornburg Mortgage from Citigroup and AG Edwards today.&nbsp; Oh OK, right got it.&nbsp; Now I should no longer hold TMA and dump it.&nbsp; Great &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/analyst-upgradesdowgrades\/a-history-of-analyst-upgradesdowngrades-countrywide-financial-cfc-american-home-mortgage-ahm-thornburg-tma\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">A History of Analyst Upgrades\/Downgrades &#8211; Countrywide Financial (CFC), American Home Mortgage (AHM), Thornburg (TMA)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyst-upgradesdowgrades"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=782"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/782\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}