{"id":1365,"date":"2009-03-08T18:36:23","date_gmt":"2009-03-08T23:36:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/nasdaq-takes-its-turn-in-taking-out-november-lows-the-relief-rally-is-near\/"},"modified":"2018-08-12T01:37:31","modified_gmt":"2018-08-12T06:37:31","slug":"nasdaq-takes-its-turn-in-taking-out-november-lows-the-relief-rally-is-near","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/nasdaq-takes-its-turn-in-taking-out-november-lows-the-relief-rally-is-near\/","title":{"rendered":"Nasdaq Takes Its Turn In Taking Out November Lows, The Relief Rally Is Near"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With each passing day, as the market plunges further into the abyss taking out critical long support levels along the way, questions surrounding Obama&#8217;s policies and whether he and his administration are to blame for the continuing losses dominate the blogs, the financial shows and even the nightly news.&nbsp; I chimed in on this a little bit last week alluding to the fact that traders are making bets on socialism following the passage of the stimulus package and bloated, big government budget &amp; tax proposals.&nbsp; With the increasing skepticism that this administration can get this economy moving in the right direction along with the potential collapses in Citigroup, AIG, GM and BofA it&#8217;s no wonder the Nasdaq has joined the Dow and S&amp;P500 in taking out the November lows.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>The buy surge in the last 30 minutes of trading Friday provides some glimmer of hope that perhaps we are closing in on a relief rally, but as you&#8217;ll see in the charts below there is still considerable downside risk with lots of overhead resistance to work through. <\/p>\n<p><!--more--> <\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq joined the Dow and S&amp;P in taking out its November lows Friday and despite a valiant end of day effort to reclaim that level of support, ultimately failed to do so.&nbsp; Perhaps Friday&#8217;s late surge can propel this market into an oversold relief rally. The bottom line is that this market has to build on Friday&#8217;s strength and get going right now and clear the February downtrend with big volume.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/3709-nasdaqdaily.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px\" height=\"432\" alt=\"3709_nasdaqdaily\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/3709-nasdaqdaily-thumb.gif\" width=\"493\" border=\"0\"><\/a>  <\/p>\n<p>I do feel we are close to a big relief rally.. very close.&nbsp; However, with no sign of buyers stepping up in a big way yet, this market is prone to one big final flush move to shake out the last of the weak holders.&nbsp; What&#8217;s left of them anyway.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/3709-sp500daily.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px\" height=\"433\" alt=\"3709_sp500daily\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/3709-sp500daily-thumb.gif\" width=\"492\" border=\"0\"><\/a>  <\/p>\n<p>The Dow nearly touched the bottom of its downward channel&nbsp; on Friday, but there&#8217;s still room to run before hitting that level.. perhaps to the 6300 level or so.&nbsp; It&#8217;s concerning that we had yet another weekly close in the lower half of the trading range with heavy volume.&nbsp; We&#8217;re not out of the woods yet despite another 25% plunge in just two months.  <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/3709-dowweekly.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px\" height=\"433\" alt=\"3709_dowweekly\" src=\"http:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/3709-dowweekly-thumb.gif\" width=\"493\" border=\"0\"><\/a>  <\/p>\n<p>I have a considerable cushion over the S&amp;P 500 in the Self Investors Model portfolio, down just 1.8% YTD vs the 24.3% plunge in S&amp;P500, so I did put some additional skin in the game on the long side on Friday.&nbsp; However, if the end of day Friday momentum turns out to be another dud, I won&#8217;t hesitate to exit positions quickly.&nbsp; You have to be incredibly nimble in this market.  <\/p>\n<p>:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::  <\/p>\n<p><strong><font color=\"#800000\" size=\"3\">Isn\u2019t Time You Took Control of Your Financial Future?<\/font><\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>The Self Investors Model Portfolio wrapped up 2006 with a <strong>gain of 27.6%<\/strong>, 2007 with a <strong>gain of 30.2%, <\/strong>finished <strong>nearly 35% ahead of the S&amp;P in a very difficult 2008 and is off to a great start here in 2009, ahead of the S&amp;P YTD performance by 23%<\/strong>.&nbsp; This is a REAL portfolio with position sizing and not based on extrapolated hypothetical gains for each trade.&nbsp; On average it beats the S&amp;P by 20% per year. The result?  <\/p>\n<p>* Putting $100K into an S&amp;P tracking index at the beginning of 2004 and you\u2019re down more than $35K.&nbsp; <br \/>* The Self Investors Model in the same time period would have more than doubled your money.&nbsp; That\u2019s the power of not buying and holding!&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>Would you like to receive buy and sell alerts in the Model Portfolio within minutes (<strong>NEW!<\/strong> now get them via instant messaging in near real time) of each transaction?&nbsp; You can receive these along with ALL of the tracking tools and video reports with the very popular Gold membership.&nbsp; Don\u2019t delay, get started today and join me for many more highly profitable months here at SelfInvestors.com.  <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Best\/Worst Performers :::<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211; Top 10 Performing Industries For the Week &#8211;<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>1. Copper: 6.55%<br \/>2. Semis &#8211; Integrated: 4.25%<br \/>3. Toy &amp; Hobby Stores: 3.10%<br \/>4. Auto Parts Stores: .45%<br \/>5. Gold:&nbsp; 0%<br \/>6. Music &amp; Video Stores: -.25%<br \/>7. Semis &#8211; Specialized: -.55% <br \/>8. Consumer Services: -.90%<br \/>9. Semis &#8211; Equipment &amp; Services: -.90% <br \/>10. Chemicals &#8211; Major Diversified: -1.25%  <\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211; Top 10 Worst Performing Industries For the Week &#8211;<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>1. Banks &#8211; Midwest: -24.05%<br \/>2. Major Airlines: -23.10%<br \/>3. Banks &#8211; Pacific: -22.80%<br \/>4. Resorts &amp; Casinos: -22.15%<br \/>5. Nonmetallic Mineral\/Mining: -22.10%<br \/>6. Textile Manufacturing: -21.65%<br \/>7. Lumber\/Wood Production: -21.50%<br \/>8. Gaming Activities: -21.30%<br \/>9. Banks &#8211; NE: -20.15% <br \/>10. Broadcasting &#8211; Radio: -20.05%  <\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211; Top 5 Best Performing ETFs For the Week &#8211;<\/strong><br \/>(excluding leveraged ETFs)  <\/p>\n<p>1. Morgan Stanley China (CAF) 10.85% <br \/>2. iShares Taiwan (EWT) 5.00%<br \/>3. PowerShares DB Base Metals (DBB) 4.90%<br \/>4.US Oil Fund (USO) 3.50%<br \/>5. Market Vectors Russia (RSX) 2.50%  <\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211; Worst 5 Performing ETF\u2019s &#8211;<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>1. HLDRS Regional Banks (RKH) -27.70%<br \/>2. SPDR Series Trust (KBE) -23.30%<br \/>3. Herzfeld Caribbean Basin (CUBA) -23.00%<br \/>4. PowerShares Private Equity (PSP) -19.50%<br \/>5. SPDR Financials (XLF) -18.70%  <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Upcoming Economic Reports (3\/9\/2009- 3\/13\/2009) :::<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>Monday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; None<br \/>Tuesday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Wholesale Inventories<br \/>Wednesday:&nbsp; Treasury Budget, Crude Inventories<br \/>Thursday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Retail Sales, Initial Claims, Business Inventories<br \/>Friday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Import\/Export Prices, Trade Balance  <\/p>\n<p><strong>::: Earnings I\u2019m Watching This Week :::<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>Monday: AeroVironment (AVAV), American Oriental Bioengineering (AOB), Comtech Communications (CMTL), Digital Ally (DGLY), Gafisa (GFA)  <\/p>\n<p>Tuesday: China Digital TV (STV), JA Solar (JASO), LHC Group (LHCG)  <\/p>\n<p>Wednesday: Hot Topic (HOTT), LDK Solar (LDK), LMI Aerospace (LMIA), Buckle (BKE)  <\/p>\n<p>Thursday: Ener1 (HEV), Medifast (MED), Ocean Power Technologies (OPTT), PowerSecure Intl (POWR), ReneSola (SOL)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With each passing day, as the market plunges further into the abyss taking out critical long support levels along the way, questions surrounding Obama&#8217;s policies and whether he and his administration are to blame for the continuing losses dominate the blogs, the financial shows and even the nightly news.&nbsp; I chimed in on this a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives\/nasdaq-takes-its-turn-in-taking-out-november-lows-the-relief-rally-is-near\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Nasdaq Takes Its Turn In Taking Out November Lows, The Relief Rally Is Near<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weeklyafter-stock-market-review-archives"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1365"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1365\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}