{"id":122,"date":"2005-10-07T06:01:56","date_gmt":"2005-10-07T11:01:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/?p=122"},"modified":"2018-08-12T01:12:34","modified_gmt":"2018-08-12T06:12:34","slug":"oil-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/state-of-the-stock-market\/oil-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil &amp; Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Once again it was the Fisher show, reiterating inflation concerns.&nbsp; On Tuesday the market was holding up just fine until the one man wrecking crew appeared to spoil the party.&nbsp; Today, he returned to take care of the few stragglers that remained.&nbsp; &quot;Hey, be sure to turn off the lights.. oh, and don&#8217;t let the door hit you in the ass on the way out.&nbsp; Party&#8217;s over Bulls, party&#8217;s over.&quot;&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>This exerpt taken from the Dallas Morning News: <br \/>http:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/sharedcontent\/dws\/bus\/stories\/DN-fisher_05bus.ART.State.Edition2.<br \/>1395847e.html<\/p>\n<p><em>Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard W. Fisher says record energy prices have pushed inflation to the top end of central bankers&#8217; tolerance zone. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&quot;We now face higher energy prices and businesses&#8217; desire to pass the increased costs on to their customers,&quot; he said, and inflation shows little inclination to go in the other direction.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The irony is that the main culprit of higher inflation, surging oil prices, have plummeted in the last couple of days, but the market has failed to respond.&nbsp; Although,&#8230; I suppose it isn&#8217;t too surprising considering that the Fed seems hell-bent on ratcheting up rates.&nbsp; The million dollar question is at what price of oil is there no longer a risk of it leading to higher inflation and how does the Fed implement effective monetary policy in conjuction with oil prices, with which it has no control?&nbsp; Additionally, to what extent will the government ease supply concerns in order to keep the inflationary pressures of oil at bay? <\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m no economist and certainly don&#8217;t play one on TV, but it seems the Fed needs to ease up and let its 11 consecutive rate hikes take affect.&nbsp; Now that oil has had its hurricane fear induced run up, lets see where it settles out and how infllation responds.&nbsp; We need to get out of this cycle of extremes beginning with the internet bubble of &#8217;99 and HOPEFULLY not ending with a housing crash in the future.&nbsp; Practice patience Fed, practice patience.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<\/p>\n<p>Both the Dow and S&amp;P are in serious trouble with little in the way of support between here and Dow 10,000 and S&amp;P 1150.&nbsp; After yesterday&#8217;s bit of capitulation in the final minutes of trading we may see a bounce from here up to resistance, but getting back above resistance any time soon looks like an impossibility.&nbsp; Those charts are ugly, REAL ugly.&nbsp; If there is any bright spot at all, its that the Nasdaq, the S&amp;P600 and the Russell 2000 all have support of their 200 day moving averages.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll take a look at the charts this weekend in detail.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Once again it was the Fisher show, reiterating inflation concerns.&nbsp; On Tuesday the market was holding up just fine until the one man wrecking crew appeared to spoil the party.&nbsp; Today, he returned to take care of the few stragglers that remained.&nbsp; &quot;Hey, be sure to turn off the lights.. oh, and don&#8217;t let the &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/state-of-the-stock-market\/oil-inflation\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Oil &amp; Inflation<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-state-of-the-stock-market"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=122"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=122"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=122"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/selfinvestors.com\/tradingstocks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=122"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}